He Philadelphia Philistine (27-29) i Milwaukee Brewers (33-25) will meet Thursday to close out a 3-game series at American Family Field. The contest is scheduled to begin at 2:10 pm ET. We analyze the lines of Tipico Sportsbook around the Phillies vs. Brewerspossibilities with MLB elections and predictions.
Season Series: Philadelphia leads 3-2.
He The Filis have won 6 games in a row. Philadelphia won 10-0 on Wednesday and has scored 6 or more runs in 5 of the 6 wins. Philly are 9-7 with a robust .801 OPS in their last 16 road games.
He The Brewers have lost 5 games in a row and 7 in the last 8. The Milwaukee attack has hit .209 / .281 / .341 (.622 OPS) since May 22.
Phillies and Brewers projected initiators
RHP Zach Eflin vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Eflin (2-4, 3.88 ERA) is called up for its tenth start to the season. It has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.8 BB / 9 and 7.9 K / 9 at 51 IP.
- He pitched 8 goalless innings in his last outing against the Los Angeles Angels on Friday, and was a good rebound after coughing up 7 runs in 6 innings at the New York Mets on May 28th.
- It has an effectiveness of 1.16 at home versus an effectiveness of 8.10 on the road, and this is nothing new. Since 2020, it has recorded an effectiveness of 2.53 in home games and a figure of 5.89 on the road.
Burnes (3-3, 2.50 ERA) has a WHIP of 0.92, 1.7 BB / 9 and 11.1 K / 9 at 68 1/3 IP in 11 starts.
- He allowed 5R in 3 2/3 IP in his last outing Friday against the San Diego Padres. He had given the Brewers 6-plus IP on 9 consecutive outings before this turn.
Phillies and Brewers probabilities and lines
The odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; Go to USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Center for a complete list. Last updated lines at 9:16 ET.
- Money line: Phillies +140 (bet $ 100 to win $ 140) | Brewers -175 (bet $ 175 to win $ 100)
- Execution line (RL): Filis +1.5 (-155) | Brewers -1.5 (+125)
- Above / below (O / U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Phillies at Brewers selections and predictions
Prediction
Filis 4, Brewers 3
Money line
One-run game records (Phillies 5-10, Brewers 13-7) and some other powerful factors bring a certain systemic tilt to the Philadelphia side. This is done for a couple of betting wins in this series. However, the lean here is checked a bit by the performances on the road to Eflin and even more so by the price.
There is some value in the PHILLIES (+140) but it is a PASS if the price goes down.
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Current line / Against propagation
Taking out run-and-a-half insurance due to the traffic jams on Eflin Road is an appealing idea, but the design is too much. TO PASS.
Above / below
Both bullpens are in good condition. Eflin’s results against unnamed New York Mets teams have been impressive. The label here is an atypical value in the market. BACK TO SUB 7.5 (-125).
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